Tuesday, February 6, 2024

I did it!

 Inspired by youngdividend's last post, this is mine as well.  I'll keep the blog here in case I get hit by a truck and my wifenkids can use it to continue the trend.  My son is especially into dividends.

I did it.  Over a year ago, I was offered a severance check to leave my company.  I applied for it, I got it, and dropped the check into dividends.  Today, I am happy to report that retiring on dividends works (over a year, anyways).

Now, I am a cautious person, and due to many FIRE folks my age dealing with the "messy middle" of my kids, my wife took a job.  This was mostly because she was having a hard time dealing with empty nest syndrome, but also as a cushion in case this dividend thing didn't work.  Well it worked.  She is working to "borrow" my daughter tuition, but this is short lived, as my daughter will graduate before the end of 2024.  My daughter will then pay us back without interest, and we will use that for my son's education, which is for a less expensive school.  Ok, so that part of the "messy middle" is taken care of.

Just switched from my COBRA to my wife's medical coverage, but she will probably have to quit in 3 months because we want to stay inside a certain tax bracket.  Then we will move to a health-share we have used in the past (keep reading for a better scope on this).  Next year, I want to use the buffer in the tax bracket to move stocks from my Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA.  This year (and last), I am moving stocks from my taxable account to my Roth.  I used dividends from my taxable account, and my traditional IRA in 2023 to pay bills and enjoy leisure activities.  In 2024, I will also be pulling from my Roth and my wife's retirement accounts to increase income.  

"But what about the 10% early withdrawal penalty?"  Well, thanks to having a child in college, I avoid that penalty (for now).  My son will help with that when he starts college and my daughter leaves.  Once he leaves, I will probably lock up my traditional IRA with a 72t until I'm 59.5 to avoid the early withdrawal penalty.  After that it will be all about converting the taxable into the Roth and avoid taxes as much as possible.  

So, what did I do with the severance check?  I bought some stinkers (MPW, MED, & WBA), but I also bought some (unexpected) winners:  IBM(biggest gainer), UVV, OMF, UNB, VZ(shocker), & WMB.  The rest have been fair to middlin' or more of what I have, and some are just me waiting for the rates to drop (ABR/AGNC/REITS).  It is true that my best years were the Trump years, so I can expect the Biden years to not live up to it, but if Trump gets back in, the market will likely roar back.  And even if that doesn't happen, lowering rates will do that as well.  This is me being optimistic, of course.

I have my HSA dividends, and now my wife's HSA dividends helping with medical costs (and buying Excedrin and gel shoe inserts).  I have both of our Roths, both of our Tradition IRAS, and the taxable account supplementing income.  We are also toying with the idea to sell our home (which almost doubled in 5 years) when rates start to drop to take advantage of the profits, put them into dividends, and then travel/rent using that income.  Our current state has insane inflation post-pandemic, and we need to take advantage of being flexible by going to countries (6 months) and states (6 months) where the dollar does best.  And not accumulating material items - well that should keep us flush with cash.  We've also been offered to stay rent-free at a snowbird's home, so if any "messy middle" life events happen, we could always sit there and accumulate, or just annoy my parents in a worst-case scenario.  Our children will just be starting out, so we want to leave them alone, but that is the worst-worst-case scenario.  I may be optimistic, but I am also cautious.  

So, every day is Saturday for me.  I am involved in my church, I attend a "retirement" club, and the guy running it is in his 90s, and did exactly what i did when he turned 50 and has been living off dividends.  I don't think his was self-directed, but back then it was harder to do that.  I am running two D&D games with my friends online (so I can do it anywhere), I belong to a walking group, a hiking group, a pub trivia group, and I fill in the rest with hot tub time, reading, crossword puzzles, and supporting my son in his interests.  I travel with my son for his interests, and travel with my wife, leaving for weeks at a time.  I have lunch every quarter with fellow dividend investors I used to work with and those we left behind who are also working on their "plan". 

I am excited at achieving this, and I encourage others to find their way to this spot as well.  Everyone's situation is different, and sometimes it is hard to make decisions when friends & family are involved, but you can always 1) get out of debt, 2) cover your bills with dividends, 3) have a plan if you ever get laid off, and 4) determine your retirement plan.  Do the hard work now, then you can sleep well at night knowing your stocks are dropping coins into your piggy bank.  Make your principle work for you, and even switch jobs to control your retirement funds (i.e. roll fidelity controlled 401k into a self-controlled IRA).  A little discipline, some research, then kick back and enjoy the fruits of your labors.  I am blessed, and God, my wife, and my kids get all the credit.

As youngdividend said, I won't be posting anymore because of doxing.  Selling my home and going nomadic will help ensure my financial safety, along with umbrella insurance and a VPN.  Time for the next phase...


Wednesday, January 18, 2023

Big Changes Coming

 I've had an extraordinary opportunity.  More once I get it all set up.  Currently I'm reading "The Millionaire Next Door".  Preaching to the choir, but a good book nonetheless.  Still surprised that doctors make so much money, but are not in the top 10 wealthiest occupations.

Saturday, July 2, 2022

Nice pullback, but for dumb reasons

Q1 earnings caused quite a ruckus in the market, and Q2 earnings might as well.  Thankfully, dividend
stocks, especially consumer staples, don't get hit as hard.  Regardless, my (limited selection) 401k has lost a lot, and if I had that money in hand, it would not be the case.  My net worth has been about the same as November of last year!  And that is with me adding money to my account, and my house going up up up, and me adding just enough to my 401k for my work to match.  

The market is pretty boring these days, and a debbie downer.  I appreciate the great yields, but the depressed market is quite a change from the Trump economy market.  I know Biden has been quoted as saying the stock market is for rich people, but that is such a small view.  It is for companies that employ all classes, and holds retirement for all classes as well.  This drop may cause some senior citizens to come out of retirement to work, and might require me to delay my retirement.  I have been holding cash for the most part, with some big purchases here and there to take advantage of good yields from quality companies.

The feds need to raise rates.  If you didn't get a loan or mortgage with a low rate, you missed the boat.  It's only going up from here.  A lot of this is oil related, and we need to get back to using our own oil, at least to keep strong during this depressed economy.  We should get a bounce back as money slowly re-enters the market, but if Q2 is as bad as Q1, we might have another drop.  Companies are a lot more agile now than back in the Sears or Marshall Fields days.  They may be able to take care of the increased price of oil, and in turn, everything else.

SCOTUS rulings should be highly ineffective on the market.  One possible contradiction to this was the giving of Roe vs Wade to the states (and I wish more things were given to the states).  That kind of news in this economy is great as we may be able to increase workers, reason to work, and also more consumers into the economy, the market reflected that following the news.  Considering the severe drop in family sizes in the U.S., we definitely need a larger work population.


Not much else to say.  We finished remodeling our last room in our condo for retirement - and just need to buy some patio furniture with a few minor changes here and there to the inside.  It is very exciting to be close to finished with that goal.  Our first child is going off to university with one year+ of credits under her belt, and our son is going to college full time while in high school to reduce his tuition costs as well.  I have been living my pre-retirement in my hot tub, and playing games with my friends.

    Dividend Increases & Special Payouts Apr/May/June


    Monday, April 4, 2022

    Inflation, Ukraine, Home Prices

     Interest rates are rising - and that means people will be borrowing less which should boost the value of
    the dollar - except the Fed is taking its sweet time to raise them.  I'm not sure why - but as long as they drag their feet, the housing market should get a last minute shot in the arm as people scramble to take advantage of such low rates.  I am not too worried about the value of my home, I live in one of the hottest parts of the country right now.  So even if the market cools or busts, I should see little if any change.  It is nice to see the price of my home almost double, as it has been the fastest growing asset in my net worth portfolio.  The nice thing is that
    it will continue to appreciate until such time as I decide I am tired of owning and wish to rent and let someone else deal with all the problems.  I have often heard that you don't own a house, it owns you, and that has been true of my last two homes, but the current Condo I live in, I don't feel that way.  While we are currently remodeling the last room in our house, I have not had to make any repairs to the home.  I may keep it - but if I want to avoid state income taxes from dividends I may not.  

    I received a larger than average raise to compensate for inflation this year.  Sadly, it was still behind the current rate of inflation (no surprise there).  I now see why people job hop to different companies.  It gets more expensive each year to keep your job, as the employer believes you will have some kind of loyalty and take the abuse.  Thankfully, I have about 2.5 years left before I am eligible to retire.  If the economy improves, I should be able to follow through with that.  Drop my pension and 401k into an IRA, then drop that into a Roth, pay an obscene amount of taxes, then never pay federal income tax again.  My taxable brokerage account is getting very close to the 20k bracket for married filing jointly, so by the time I do all this, I should be at 16-18k income on the taxable account, and everything else coming from my Roth.  This current div meter does include some income from Roth, HSA, and my wife's IRA, but not a huge percentage.

    From an economic perspective, the Ukraine debacle is itching for "peace to break out".  I have been buying quite a bit as my portfolio is recovering from the last several months of losses.  In all situations there is a place to make money, and one stock that has been taking off like a rocket is Archer Daniels (ADM).  Who would have thought the Ukraine was the breadbasket of the world?  Stateside farm value has exploded due to lack of farming in Ukraine, and ADM certainly is breaking out.  My son owns LAND which is a farm REIT, and it has blown up as well.  They will probably settle down after "peace breaks out".  The only problem I have with the Ukraine situation is Putin's lack of success.  It feels like a feint on purpose, or a smoke and mirrors tactic for China or itself.  I hope there are no surprises later.


    Inflation definitely puts a crimp into my retirement plans.  It also tips me toward going abroad.  After all, most of the world's grain goes through the Panama Canal, and Panama is in my top 5 countries to retire to.  I expect the dollar to go a lot further there, as we are feeling the squeeze on fuel and consumer staples.  We will see how this goes - I don't have much keeping me around at this point that I can't do online.  That includes socially as well.


    Dividend Increases & Special Payouts Feb/Mar

    Thursday, February 10, 2022

    Late, but was waiting for milestone

     Finally!

    This morning, WSO aka Watsco aka HVAC Supplier, raised their dividend 13%, which pushed my dividends over to $1001 per month (average).  $12k a year.  I am proud to reveal my divmeter's new milestone:

    It took under 5 years... 

    I'm halfway to "livable" (green) income.  Granted, some (but not many) of these divvies are in a Roth and HSA.  None of them are in my 401(k), since I'm not allowed by Fidelity to own dividend paying stocks.  I will need to hit 40k if I want to maintain my current lifestyle, after kids have left.

    I'm also late because I was on a vacation - took a cruise at the height of Omicron.  I won't do that again - wasn't worth the discounted price!  I also spent most of January doing taxes and making money decisions.  It appears I will be opening a Traditional IRA for my wife, so I can pay her instead of the government.  It will also help us simulate having one at some point.  It remains to be seen if we will be 72(t) it when retirement rolls around in a few years.  I have been giving a lot of thought to the backdoor Roth, but not too much thought, the Democrats may yet be able to eliminate it, but I hope not!  My co-worker is retiring in a few months and hopes to take advantage of it.  I will be watching (the end of) his career with great interest.

    As far as my daughter's education, one of the scholarships we were banking on fizzled out - they ended it last year, and announced it this February.  It looks like we will need to fund her education and she will pay us back interest free.  Almost every scholarship is "need based" which exposes the ridiculousness of the price gouging that takes place, colleges hoping students get free money from the government or go into debt paying for their school.  I consider it an investment in the end, she can pay the old man instead of the loan sharks.

    With 2+ months of markets flat or retreating, it is clear we have a president who isn't concerned about the stock market status.  With inflation on the rise, Fed raising rates, and supply chain shortages, I'm expecting more of the same going forward.  It will be harder to find a few gems here and there.  We can wait for Putin to invade Ukraine, and maybe even China invading Taiwan to get a few bargains, but other than that, I don't see any motivation from the White House to keep this Bull market of the past 5 years going.  

    Dividend Increases & Special Payouts Dec/Jan

    • December/January Purchases/Sales:
      • Sold OHI-100 to tax harvest to Buy QYLD - 128
      • O - 10
      • QYLD - 49
      • JNJ - 2
      • ORI - 1
      • SO - 9
      • XEL - 7
      • WTRG - 1



    Saturday, November 27, 2021

    The Great Resignation, FAFSA, Lyondell Basell, Omicron

    Income as of 11/27/21


     I didn't post last month as I was too busy!  However, this week has been slow at work, so I thought I would post something. 

    In October we saw the fallout of "The Great Resignation".  Peo
    ple were walking out of their jobs due to an abundance of employers scrambling to fill the gaps caused by a rebounding economy, and the inability of foreigners to take those jobs.  And this of course creates a snowball effect for the companies that lose employees and need to refill those jobs.  I did not partake, although it has been tempting.  I am too close to retirement to start over somewhere, even if they offer more money.  While my work is relatively dangerous, and I am compensated for it, I know it, and I have made it very efficient over the years that the return on time investment is greater than if I worked elsewhere.

    I did fill out the FAFSA.  There were no fireworks or open arms.  My daughter's college will review it and send out letters of offers at the end of December.  I don't expect anything.  My company does offer a scholarship for employee's kids, which I filled out the day it dropped, but two things on the questionnaire bothered me.  First was a question on my income and savings, and would I share it.  Really?  Nobody who works at my company should  have to answer a question like that.  The qualification is my child is the daughter of an employee, where everyone is compensated at a certain level or higher.  I clicked "No".  I'm not even sure if that was a good idea, since if I did share, I certainly would not be the highest earner who did.  Maybe I would be higher on the priority list if I did.  I have seen this question before on forms that have nothing to do with being an employee's child.  The next question really blew my mind, though, as I have *NEVER* seen it before.  "Please describe reasons you did not do well in school, i.e. parent with addiction, stress from work or family, etc."  Wow.  That is a consideration?  We all have problems, but they are really going to consider people who submitted their transcript, got C's and D's, because their dad, WHO IS AN EMPLOYEE OF A LARGE TECH COMPANY, has blown all the college money on alcohol, and caused you to get bad grades???????  I answered:  "Due to the pandemic, I was unable to participate in extracurricular activities."  I then talked to a fellow employee whose daughter is studying to become a Marine Biologist.  He also answers "No" on the income/savings question.  She has not received 1 penny from the employee scholarship program.  What I once saw as a sure thing now looks like it is slipping away...

    International Paper (IP) and Realty Income (O) split off some of their divisions into other companies, and I received stock for those companies.  I sold them immediately as they did not offer dividends, and counted it as a "bonus dividend" in my records.  Realty Income then proceeded to raise their dividend, International Paper proceeded to say they would cut their dividend.  I sold IP and kept O.  I then took the proceeds from IP, and bought a higher yielding industrial company, Lyondell Basell (LYB).  It is chemicals, not unlike Air Products (APD), which I own.  However, I think they are different enough that it shouldn't be an "all eggs in one basket" situation.  LYB has dropped since I bought it, so the yield is still good for future purchases.


    The market dropped quite a bit yesterday, and my net worth felt it, due to the announcement of the Omicron Covid strain.  Apparently deadlier, and easily caught by young people, showing up in South Africa.  I don't know what this will do to my cruise plans in January, but travel and energy related stocks took quite a hit.  The last two strains didn't do much to the market, or to the covid issue (IMO), so I expected the market not to bat an eye.  But it did.  Time will tell what happens next.

    With a new session of dual-enrollment (my son will be starting next semester), and two kids participating, and other bills + inflation, I haven't bought much the past two months.  Christmas coming will most likely postpone any big purchases until Jan/Feb.

    Dividend Increases & Special Payouts Oct/Nov

    • Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL) declares $0.26/share quarterly dividend6.1% increase from prior dividend of $0.24.  - This was a bit of a shocker - glad I've been buying Hormel while it has been sitting at a 52 week low.
    • Realty Income (NYSE:O) declares $0.246/share monthly dividend4.2% increase from prior dividend of $0.236. - This was refreshing to see after they spun off their office real estate division (which I sold).  Thanks O!
    • Main Street Capital (NYSE:MAIN) declares $0.215/share monthly dividend2.4% increase from prior dividend of $0.210.  In addition to the regular monthly dividends for Q1'22, the Board of Directors declared a supplemental cash dividend of $0.10 per share payable in December 2021.  - Another surprise, since MAIN was about to miss their increase streak.  Apparently someone is making money in this economy.
    • AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) declares $1.41/share quarterly dividend8.5% increase from prior dividend of $1.30.  - Very nice!  Thanks ABBV!
      • October/November Purchases/Sales:
        • QYLD - 5
        • ONL - Sold 10 (O's spinoff)
        • O - 5
        • HRL - 0.9011 (this is on DRIP)
        • LYB - 104
        • VZ - 1.5036 (also on DRIP)
        • IP - Sold 192
        • SLVVM - Sold 17 (IP's spinoff)
        • WTRG - 11 (HSA)
        • SO - 8 (HSA)
        • JNJ - 4 (HSA)
        • XEL - 2 (HSA)
        • WEC - 8 (HSA)

      Friday, October 1, 2021

      September Slump, finally! QYLD

       As I sit down to write this, I realize that I am being pressured to fill out the FAFSA for my college-bound child as of October 1st.  This is a bit of a landmark moment, as the first of my two children will be leaving, clearing up a some household expenses.  Since she picked the major, and the university, she will be required to pay for her tuition.  She needs to have some "skin in the game" so to speak, so that money is not thrown away.  She was able to reduce her bachelor's degree by one year by taking community college classes (surprisingly, they all transferred).  Senior year is completely dual enrollment with said picked university.  She also qualified for a scholarship that pays for 1/4 of each year's tuition for up to four years (keep that GPA up and take the ACT/SAT).

      Ideally, this is they best way to do it:  Starting Freshman/Sophomore year (easier for homeschooled kids), take general classes with your local community college (College Algebra, a lab science, a general history class (American or World), etc.).  Online seems to be popular, so no worries about how they look to the other kids, and no worrisome interactions (do be careful with lit courses, though, they might end up reading 50 Shades of Grey!).  Try and pick the school you want, make sure they have dual enrollment starting Junior year, and take classes with said school the last 2 years of high school.  Upon graduation, you should have to get a bachelor's in only two years with that school.  I learned with my first, now I need to apply this to my second child.

      Now for the FAFSA - the FAFSA punishes you for saving, and having middle/upper middle class income.  You truly see how this country is made on the backs of these two classes, when you see friends and relatives get free rides thanks to the FAFSA.  Having a taxable brokerage account the size of mine, without putting it into a "can't touch until 65" retirement account, automatically qualifies my daughter to NOT get any college money.  I've taken several faux FAFSA indication tests and they all say that she cannot get any support.  This is how the system punishes the FIRE set, and forces you to play by their rules.  Just like the current infrastructure bill has a clause to get rid of the backdoor ROTH option (this will make things painful if that passes!  I'll explain if it does in a later blog).  You MUST not make too much money, and you MUST put it into a plan that MUST require you to work until 65 years of age (the age determined by the government that you are fit to contribute to the strength of your nation).  And it makes sense from a governing point of view, I get it.  I don't like it, and I don't have to play by those rules.  I will get penalized for not playing by the rules, but I am determined to march to the beat of a different drummer.  As I contemplate taking the FAFSA (one of those F's stands for futility, I'm sure), I'll post if I do.

      I told my daughter that she needs to work on scholarships and writing all her friends and relatives for assistance.  She is also working part time to save up as well.  Who knows, the old man might pass away and she can pay off her loan with dividends sooner than later.  We did open a 529 for her, which does cover dual enrollment tuition (just not other fees), and people can donate to it (gifting up to $15k tax free per year) and she won't have to pay taxes on the funds received.  That coupled with the several writeoffs for college tuition & expenses should help ease some of the financial burden.

      Anyways, after 9 months of my net worth going up, FINALLY it has pulled back thanks to the market slump.  I tried to predict it the last 2 months, because prior, 6 months was the max before a pullback.  I'm actually grateful, and I think it isn't done until earnings season starts in the middle of October.  Now if Q3 earnings are also slumped, this will last until mid November to mid December.  I think that companies have tightened up enough that profits will still hold over and Q4 following will be no exception.  Q1 next year on the other hand will probably be the next slump.  I also hope that it continues to slump, because dividends have not yet caught up to profits, so yields are still low.  Granted I've lost about 10% of my brokerage value, but I can endure a lot more pain to gain better yields.

      This is why I decided to check out QYLD.  QYLD is not a company's stock.  It is an ETF.  I know, ETF is usually a bad word for me, but this ETF is unlike any other ETF I've ever seen.  It doesn't buy stocks.  Yes, that's correct, an ETF that does not buy/sell stocks.  It stands for, well, let me just cut and paste:

      "Global X Funds - Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF is an exchange traded fund launched and managed by Global X Management Company LLC. The fund invests in public equity markets of global region. The fund invests directly and through derivatives in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It uses derivatives such as options to create its portfolio. It invests in growth and value stocks of large-cap companies.  Global X Funds - Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF was formed on December 11, 2013 and is domiciled in the United States."

      So basically, it is an ETF of covered call options.  I don't do options, as I'm not looking to make a quick buck.  I also know there can be risks, (as with all make-money-quick ideas).  But here's the kicker:  It averages an 11-12% yield, and guarantees NO GROWTH, and is managed (probably by a computer).  It is basically an income vehicle with little work on my part.  Now, I like a little growth with my dividends, so I was quite skeptical at first, but the growth + dividends with Hormel (HRL) in my portfolio is pretty petty, although stable and reliable.  QYLD offers no such stability or reliability, but it does offer some nice MONTHLY dividends.  I am cautiously buying into this one with some mad money, because I want to see how it performs in a bear market like September Slump, or perhaps a crash.  I suggest you do massive research before buying into it, and be ready to jump if needed.  Otherwise, it's not bad for a ROTH or HSA side dish.

      My ROTH is fully funded for the year already, and I hope they don't eliminate the backdoor ROTH conversion, as I hope to do this over time.  I'm playing catch up with my HSA, and am using that to invest into lower yielding & stable stocks to keep my portfolio balanced.  Otherwise I'm hanging onto cash at the moment until the slump looks to be over.

      Dividend Increases & Special Payouts

      • Verizon (NYSE:VZ) declares $0.64/share quarterly dividend2% increase from prior dividend of $0.6275.  Best to be expected from a communications company.
      • W. P. Carey (NYSE:WPC) declares $1.052/share quarterly dividend0.2% increase from prior dividend of $1.050.  One of their minor increases throughout the year before the big one.
      • McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) declares $1.38/share quarterly dividend7% increase from prior dividend of $1.29.  Very Nice!
      • September Purchases:
      • XEL - 7 (HSA account)
      • ORI - 18 (HSA Account)
      • That's it.  Maybe late October I'll have some purchases.